基于传递熵的机场间延误传播关系网络

DELAY PROPAGATION RELATION NETWORK AMONG AIRPORTS BASED ON TRANSFER ENTROPY

  • 摘要: 为了刻画机场间延误传播的真实动力学过程并理解延误传播机制,建立基于传递熵的机场间延误传播关系网络并进行实例分析。由航班数据处理得到各个机场的延误时间序列,通过传递熵因果分析方法构建所有机场间的延误传播关系网络,使用复杂网络理论对该网络进行分析。实例分析结果表明,在机场间的日常延误传播交互中,小型机场尤其是4C级机场总是在向外传播延误;对于航空公司而言,较小型航空公司的航空系统更容易发生延误传播。这些分析结果可以为制定延误传播缓解措施提供理论支撑。

     

    Abstract: To describe the real dynamic process of inter airport delay propagation and understand the mechanism of delay propagation, a delay propagation relation network based on transfer entropy is established and analyzed with cases in this paper. The delay time series of each airport was obtained by flight data processing. The transfer entropy causal analysis method was used to construct the delay propagation network among all airports. The complex network theory was used to analyze the network. The results of the case study show that in the daily communication interaction of delay, small airports, especially 4C airports, are always transmitting delay to the outside. For airlines, the systems of smaller airlines are more prone to occur delay propagation. These results provide theoretical support for the formulation of delay propagation mitigation measures.

     

/

返回文章
返回