基于改进CNN-LSTM的高速公路交通流量预测研究

RESEARCH ON EXPRESSWAY TRAFFIC FLOW FORECASTING BASED ON IMPROVED CNN-LSTM

  • 摘要: 围绕交通流量时空特征复杂多样、鲁棒性、自适应性不足等问题,提出一种基于改进卷积神经网络和长短时记忆神经网络的高速公路交通流预测模型,聚焦解决时间序列相关性和空间网络相关性,通过其相关特征的提取,并在模型训练过程中,开展抗扰动的相关因素分析,引入误差弥补机制,从而提升流量预测性能。实验结果表明,该模型能够有效地开展高速公路网络交通流量预测,具有较好的准确性和鲁棒性,对智能交通系统的建设具有重要的意义。

     

    Abstract: This paper addresses the issues of complex and diverse spatiotemporal characteristics, and the insufficiencies in robustness and adaptability of traffic flow. We propose an improved model based on the convolutional neural network (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) network for highway traffic flow prediction. The model aimed to resolve the correlations in time series and spatial network by extracting relevant features and conducting perturbation analysis during the model training process, introducing an error compensation mechanism to enhance the performance of traffic flow prediction. Experimental results indicate that the model can effectively predict traffic flow in highway networks, demonstrating good accuracy and robustness, which holds significant implications for the construction of intelligent transportation systems.

     

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