考虑运营风险的农产品供应链网络优化研究

OPTIMIZATION MODEL FOR AGRI-FOOD SUPPLY CHAIN NETWORK CONSIDERING OPERATIONAL RISK

  • 摘要: 现有农产品供应链网络研究多以农业综合企业为核心进行设计,较少考虑到农户利益与运营风险。该文结合数字农产品供应链特点,运用均值-方差分析量化运营风险,以最小化运营风险与成本为目标构建新型农产品供应链网络多目标优化模型,基于正态分布理论,将非线性约束转化为线性约束式,并设计改进遗传算法进行求解,提高求解质量。算例分析在验证算法有效性的同时,表明所提模型能够有效兼顾运营风险与成本,决策者可通过调整服务水平和家庭农场产能来控制运营风险与成本。

     

    Abstract: The existing research on agri-food supply chain network mostly focus on agricultural enterprises, and pay less attention to farmer’s interests and operational risk. This paper fully considered the characteristics of digital agricultural product supply chain. Mean-variance method was used to quantitatively analyze operational risk, and a multi-objective optimization model of agri-food product supply chain network was constructed to obtain the goal of minimizing operational cost and risk. Based on the normal distribution theory, nonlinear constraints were transformed into linear constraints, which reduced the complexity of solving the model. IAPBGA was designed to solve the problem. At the same time of verifying the effectiveness of the algorithm, the example analysis shows that the proposed model can effectively balance the operational risk and cost. The decision makers can control the operational risk and cost by appropriately adjusting the service levels and capacity of family farms.

     

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