基于融合注意力机制的改进Transformer轨道交通短时客流预测

AN IMPROVED TRANSFORMER RAIL TRANSIT SHORT-TERM PASSENGER FLOW FORECASTING METHOD CONSIDERING FUSION ATTENTION MECHANISM

  • 摘要: 针对短时交通客流具有高度的非线性和动态的时空依赖性,提出一种融合注意力机制的改进Transformer轨道交通短时客流预测方法,充分利用注意力机制以及编码器和解码器的优势。并将Transformer模型进行改进,对进出站客流分别进行建模,使解码器融合进站客流和出站客流,进一步捕捉时空序列数据之间的相关特征。最后以成都轨道交通火车北站为例进行验证,实验结果表明,相比于其他四种预测方法,提出的改进Transformer模型具有最优的预测效果。

     

    Abstract: In view of the high non-linearity and dynamic space-time dependence of short-term passenger flow, an improved Transformer rail transit short-term passenger flow forecasting method based on attention mechanism is proposed, which takes advantage of the attention mechanism and the advantages of encoders and decoders. The Transformer model was improved, and the inbound and outbound passenger flow was modeled separately, so that the decoder could integrate the inbound and outbound passenger flow. The correlation features between the spatiotemporal sequence data were further captured. This paper took the North railway station of Chengdu Rail Transit as an example. The experimental results show that compared with the other four prediction methods, the improved Transformer model has the best prediction effect.

     

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